ABSTRACT

This chapter investigates a correlation between collision damage parameters, which could improve Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of random collision damages and facilitate its implementation into the risk assessment of maritime transportation. Numerical simulations are then approximated by the surrogate model enabling evaluation of damage for different random collision scenarios characterized by striking ship speed, collision angle, collision location and displacement mass. MC simulation of random collision scenarios is then employed to obtain histograms of damage parameters that can be compared to International Maritime Organisation (IMO) probabilistic models. Correlation is then employed to the IMO probabilistic model of random damage parameters and differences on probability density functions are observed. The most obvious consequence of collision damage is the reduction of the ultimate bending moment capacity. MC simulation of random collision scenarios is employed to obtain mutual correlation among damage length, breadth and height.